{"bundle_id":"b964f177-33dc-4ff6-bcb5-846b12772353","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-15T07:16:37.838784+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"63bded2b-3eb8-4a1f-b6a6-d28a5ee95ffa","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.79,"data_completeness":0.0764,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.1,"delta_7d":10.95,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.6975,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.619,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":219,"signal_score":3.6595,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"6cc00912-8df0-4b1a-8649-8a8ec122305c","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-15T07:21:58.375449+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-15T07:15:35.519324+00:00","external_market_id":"907599","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.79,"data_completeness":0.0764,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.1,"delta_7d":10.95,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.6975,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.619,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":219,"signal_score":3.6595,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-08T08:00:00+00:00",0.6805],["2026-08-08T09:00:00+00:00",0.689],["2026-08-08T15:00:00+00:00",0.658],["2026-08-08T16:00:00+00:00",0.658],["2026-08-08T22:00:00+00:00",0.753],["2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00",0.7],["2026-08-09T06:00:00+00:00",0.661],["2026-08-09T08:00:00+00:00",0.658],["2026-08-09T12:00:00+00:00",0.689],["2026-08-09T19:00:00+00:00",0.6625],["2026-08-09T21:00:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-09T22:00:00+00:00",0.686],["2026-08-10T04:00:00+00:00",0.6645],["2026-08-10T07:00:00+00:00",0.6705],["2026-08-10T11:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T13:00:00+00:00",0.6935],["2026-08-10T18:00:00+00:00",0.682],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.6785],["2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00",0.689],["2026-08-11T04:00:00+00:00",0.6865],["2026-08-11T10:00:00+00:00",0.678],["2026-08-11T12:00:00+00:00",0.678],["2026-08-11T16:00:00+00:00",0.6865],["2026-08-11T21:00:00+00:00",0.679],["2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00",0.6925],["2026-08-12T02:00:00+00:00",0.6965],["2026-08-12T08:00:00+00:00",0.6925],["2026-08-12T09:00:00+00:00",0.6925],["2026-08-12T15:00:00+00:00",0.783],["2026-08-12T17:00:00+00:00",0.7285],["2026-08-12T22:00:00+00:00",0.7235],["2026-08-13T00:00:00+00:00",0.723],["2026-08-13T04:00:00+00:00",0.7655],["2026-08-13T06:00:00+00:00",0.774],["2026-08-13T08:00:00+00:00",0.7255],["2026-08-13T09:00:00+00:00",0.706],["2026-08-13T13:10:00+00:00",0.774],["2026-08-13T18:10:00+00:00",0.7405],["2026-08-13T20:10:00+00:00",0.8035],["2026-08-13T23:10:00+00:00",0.776],["2026-08-14T01:10:00+00:00",0.794],["2026-08-14T06:10:00+00:00",0.7855],["2026-08-14T07:10:00+00:00",0.7685],["2026-08-14T15:10:00+00:00",0.7805],["2026-08-14T17:10:00+00:00",0.767],["2026-08-14T23:10:00+00:00",0.7715],["2026-08-15T03:10:00+00:00",0.7945],["2026-08-15T07:10:00+00:00",0.79]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-08T08:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-15T07:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":3.0,"observation_count":173,"points_returned":48,"probability_range_percentage_points":14.55,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.2},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"6cc00912-8df0-4b1a-8649-8a8ec122305c","title":"Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"3bae7e9b9358a1285130390adf9679eb3c0c184dd2b1d4ed174207d58c5e3d07","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-15T07:15:35.519324+00:00","source_markets":["6cc00912-8df0-4b1a-8649-8a8ec122305c"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}