{"bundle_id":"84ce1b70-07ad-4567-a2bb-2dcd20a000ab","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-19T03:21:00.598821+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"19928df6-4717-4f13-8c25-30099359e52a","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.972,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.25,"delta_7d":2.7,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.8643,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.4583,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":189,"signal_score":2.7291,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"d01bd050-5134-47ce-9e9c-95088d264a14","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-19T03:22:18.958115+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T03:15:23.528546+00:00","external_market_id":"1373746","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.972,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.25,"delta_7d":2.7,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.8643,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.4583,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":189,"signal_score":2.7291,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-12T04:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-12T05:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-12T12:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-12T19:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-13T02:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-13T05:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-13T10:00:00+00:00",0.95],["2026-08-13T11:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-13T17:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-14T00:00:00+00:00",0.945],["2026-08-14T03:00:00+00:00",0.95],["2026-08-14T07:00:00+00:00",0.95],["2026-08-14T13:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-14T15:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-14T22:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-15T00:00:00+00:00",0.9645],["2026-08-15T06:00:00+00:00",0.9605],["2026-08-15T10:00:00+00:00",0.956],["2026-08-15T14:00:00+00:00",0.961],["2026-08-15T17:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-15T20:00:00+00:00",0.9555],["2026-08-15T21:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-16T03:00:00+00:00",0.9555],["2026-08-16T04:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-16T16:00:00+00:00",0.9555],["2026-08-16T17:00:00+00:00",0.9555],["2026-08-16T23:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-17T01:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-17T08:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-17T09:00:00+00:00",0.955],["2026-08-17T15:00:00+00:00",0.9545],["2026-08-17T21:00:00+00:00",0.9605],["2026-08-18T02:00:00+00:00",0.9595],["2026-08-18T05:00:00+00:00",0.963],["2026-08-18T06:00:00+00:00",0.9275],["2026-08-18T07:00:00+00:00",0.9685],["2026-08-18T14:05:00+00:00",0.9655],["2026-08-18T16:05:00+00:00",0.9605],["2026-08-18T19:05:00+00:00",0.961],["2026-08-19T02:05:00+00:00",0.9715],["2026-08-19T03:05:00+00:00",0.972]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-12T04:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-19T03:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":42,"probability_range_percentage_points":4.45,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"d01bd050-5134-47ce-9e9c-95088d264a14","title":"Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"1a671e1db3127010dedb6ccea879e566be17cfdb81071eb5ccfe05162a4b78f2","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T03:15:23.528546+00:00","source_markets":["d01bd050-5134-47ce-9e9c-95088d264a14"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}