{"bundle_id":"2da3dd00-c2e4-4d1e-a6ae-a77f33669168","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-12T05:17:55.995499+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"d0e17790-dba9-4d29-8873-e7a93ffa5293","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.504,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.45,"delta_7d":6.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":140.781,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":182,"signal_score":3.7833,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"682ab614-011f-4d4d-95ae-d0bcc631f379","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-12T05:20:20.388803+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T05:15:20.966794+00:00","external_market_id":"2166692","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.504,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.45,"delta_7d":6.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":140.781,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":182,"signal_score":3.7833,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-05T06:00:00+00:00",0.439],["2026-08-05T07:00:00+00:00",0.429],["2026-08-05T09:00:00+00:00",0.4095],["2026-08-05T14:00:00+00:00",0.413],["2026-08-05T20:00:00+00:00",0.418],["2026-08-05T23:00:00+00:00",0.4235],["2026-08-06T00:00:00+00:00",0.4175],["2026-08-06T04:00:00+00:00",0.418],["2026-08-06T09:00:00+00:00",0.4185],["2026-08-06T12:00:00+00:00",0.418],["2026-08-06T16:00:00+00:00",0.401],["2026-08-06T19:00:00+00:00",0.401],["2026-08-06T20:00:00+00:00",0.3855],["2026-08-07T02:00:00+00:00",0.39],["2026-08-07T10:00:00+00:00",0.39],["2026-08-07T15:00:00+00:00",0.3955],["2026-08-07T17:00:00+00:00",0.3955],["2026-08-08T00:00:00+00:00",0.396],["2026-08-08T01:00:00+00:00",0.3955],["2026-08-08T07:00:00+00:00",0.3955],["2026-08-08T09:00:00+00:00",0.3965],["2026-08-08T14:00:00+00:00",0.3965],["2026-08-08T21:00:00+00:00",0.4035],["2026-08-08T22:00:00+00:00",0.405],["2026-08-09T04:00:00+00:00",0.4715],["2026-08-09T07:00:00+00:00",0.4785],["2026-08-09T09:00:00+00:00",0.4515],["2026-08-09T12:00:00+00:00",0.462],["2026-08-09T18:00:00+00:00",0.4525],["2026-08-09T19:00:00+00:00",0.4525],["2026-08-10T03:00:00+00:00",0.4525],["2026-08-10T10:00:00+00:00",0.4525],["2026-08-10T14:00:00+00:00",0.426],["2026-08-10T17:00:00+00:00",0.425],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.5145],["2026-08-11T00:00:00+00:00",0.5195],["2026-08-11T05:00:00+00:00",0.5285],["2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00",0.5285],["2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00",0.5285],["2026-08-11T17:05:00+00:00",0.4895],["2026-08-11T21:05:00+00:00",0.507],["2026-08-12T03:05:00+00:00",0.5065],["2026-08-12T05:05:00+00:00",0.504]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-05T06:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-12T05:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":43,"probability_range_percentage_points":14.3,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"682ab614-011f-4d4d-95ae-d0bcc631f379","title":"Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"e98c841d38508f6cb8bb1a53679c2e75c3e2701071e722604cc25cd25614ec67","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T05:15:20.966794+00:00","source_markets":["682ab614-011f-4d4d-95ae-d0bcc631f379"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}