{"bundle_id":"0a8c6f09-2404-4d47-98a9-8396ed519a13","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T00:20:43.627433+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"e0aeacff-fe14-4029-8afc-ed645fb1a349","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.615,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.5,"delta_7d":-4.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":135.9888,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":74,"signal_score":3.837,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T00:21:49.050481+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T00:16:06.718479+00:00","external_market_id":"2364961","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.615,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.5,"delta_7d":-4.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":135.9888,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":74,"signal_score":3.837,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T07:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T10:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T13:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T17:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-11T15:05:00+00:00",0.645],["2026-08-11T16:05:00+00:00",0.64],["2026-08-11T17:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-11T19:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-11T22:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-12T00:05:00+00:00",0.625],["2026-08-12T01:05:00+00:00",0.63],["2026-08-12T03:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-12T05:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-12T08:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-12T11:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-12T14:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-15T11:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-15T14:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-15T18:05:00+00:00",0.605],["2026-08-15T19:05:00+00:00",0.62],["2026-08-15T20:05:00+00:00",0.625],["2026-08-15T22:05:00+00:00",0.595],["2026-08-16T01:05:00+00:00",0.59],["2026-08-16T02:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-16T05:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-16T08:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-16T10:05:00+00:00",0.61],["2026-08-16T11:05:00+00:00",0.61],["2026-08-16T12:05:00+00:00",0.62],["2026-08-16T14:05:00+00:00",0.615],["2026-08-16T16:05:00+00:00",0.61],["2026-08-16T17:05:00+00:00",0.61],["2026-08-16T20:05:00+00:00",0.605],["2026-08-16T21:05:00+00:00",0.625],["2026-08-17T00:05:00+00:00",0.615]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"gapped","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T00:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":67.0,"observation_count":74,"points_returned":36,"probability_range_percentage_points":7.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":162.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","title":"Will Trump and Putin not meet?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"a2b17893cf3052cbe4d6cba8e3bf80ad1dc67daa97695287fe9ec97695b3cebd","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T00:16:06.718479+00:00","source_markets":["55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}