{"bundle_id":"9bbd698d-b650-42a1-ac8a-a7d32a4c55f0","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-20T09:48:25.027369+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"9c04f08e-65be-40bb-a44c-812bd62cb421","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.875,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"delta_7d":6.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":314.5959,"editorial_scope":{"category":"contextual","importance_score":45,"matched_terms":[],"maximum_surface":"secondary","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["No high-consequence domain was established; keep the observation below Hero."],"rule_id":"contextual-default"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":412,"signal_score":2.087,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"b1042883-5408-41f4-bbd6-5310cf71da47","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-20T09:50:32.459585+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T09:41:58.441719+00:00","external_market_id":"2413330","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.875,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"delta_7d":6.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":314.5959,"editorial_scope":{"category":"contextual","importance_score":45,"matched_terms":[],"maximum_surface":"secondary","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["No high-consequence domain was established; keep the observation below Hero."],"rule_id":"contextual-default"},"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":412,"signal_score":2.087,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-13T10:05:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-13T11:05:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-13T18:05:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-14T01:05:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-14T08:05:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-14T11:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-14T15:05:00+00:00",0.82],["2026-08-14T17:05:00+00:00",0.83],["2026-08-14T22:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-15T05:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-15T12:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-15T19:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-16T04:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-16T11:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-16T19:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-17T03:05:00+00:00",0.825],["2026-08-17T09:05:00+00:00",0.83],["2026-08-17T10:05:00+00:00",0.865],["2026-08-17T11:05:00+00:00",0.85],["2026-08-17T22:05:00+00:00",0.89],["2026-08-17T23:05:00+00:00",0.845],["2026-08-18T00:05:00+00:00",0.845],["2026-08-18T07:05:00+00:00",0.845],["2026-08-18T14:05:00+00:00",0.83],["2026-08-18T20:05:00+00:00",0.84],["2026-08-18T21:05:00+00:00",0.84],["2026-08-19T03:05:00+00:00",0.855],["2026-08-19T04:05:00+00:00",0.855],["2026-08-19T11:05:00+00:00",0.855],["2026-08-19T14:05:00+00:00",0.87],["2026-08-19T18:05:00+00:00",0.87],["2026-08-20T00:05:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-20T01:05:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-20T08:05:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-20T09:05:00+00:00",0.875]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-13T10:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-20T09:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":3.0,"observation_count":165,"points_returned":35,"probability_range_percentage_points":8.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"b1042883-5408-41f4-bbd6-5310cf71da47","title":"Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"d9ebd5c6959b2ed701ad892991fea1a3ed035afcb3b49efc5a4651db510924a5","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T09:41:58.441719+00:00","source_markets":["b1042883-5408-41f4-bbd6-5310cf71da47"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}