{"bundle_id":"ddb7c57c-b2fe-436e-ae71-ac014aa76996","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-12T13:16:05.155895+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"9d82f625-e185-477e-9850-e8852f98c5cb","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.905,"data_completeness":0.0382,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.5,"delta_7d":2.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.447,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.3,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":11,"signal_score":2.65,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-12T13:19:53.082071+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T13:15:20.288620+00:00","external_market_id":"3527749","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.905,"data_completeness":0.0382,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.5,"delta_7d":2.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.447,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.3,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":11,"signal_score":2.65,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-12T03:10:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T04:10:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T05:05:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T06:10:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T07:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T08:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T09:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T10:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T11:10:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-12T12:05:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-12T13:10:00+00:00",0.905]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-14T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-12T03:10:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-12T13:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":11,"points_returned":11,"probability_range_percentage_points":2.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":10.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620","title":"Will Trump say \"Biden\" during remarks in New York?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"547a15d8c1e75081fd14439fa21b308d9b46c363cf738afa2ddfcaf4e394c73d","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T13:15:20.288620+00:00","source_markets":["30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}