{"bundle_id":"564ad5b6-49dd-415d-aae6-02b93374e0fa","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-11T20:18:23.757151+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"270891cc-75ee-4a6a-8a55-3f0d6ef8ee78","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.635,"data_completeness":0.0208,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-1.0,"delta_7d":-2.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.156,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.4,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":18,"signal_score":1.2,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-11T20:19:29.199800+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T20:15:23.397979+00:00","external_market_id":"2364961","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.635,"data_completeness":0.0208,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-1.0,"delta_7d":-2.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.156,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.4,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":18,"signal_score":1.2,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T07:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T08:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T09:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T10:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T11:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T12:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T13:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T14:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T15:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T17:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T18:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-11T15:05:00+00:00",0.645],["2026-08-11T16:05:00+00:00",0.64],["2026-08-11T17:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-11T18:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-11T19:05:00+00:00",0.635],["2026-08-11T20:05:00+00:00",0.635]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-11T20:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":21.0,"observation_count":18,"points_returned":18,"probability_range_percentage_points":3.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":38.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","title":"Will Trump and Putin not meet?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"444904e44d775693082e3c2d596957e5c7ed3c94e63c1a764970b597a423b1fd","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T20:15:23.397979+00:00","source_markets":["55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}