{"bundle_id":"a70229b1-45a1-41a3-b768-b35ed4e79c06","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-20T09:47:12.148476+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"9e7a11b9-403b-464f-9a9f-ad5998c9da06","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.665,"data_completeness":0.0278,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":8.0,"delta_7d":8.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.8042,"editorial_scope":{"category":"contextual","importance_score":45,"matched_terms":[],"maximum_surface":"secondary","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["No high-consequence domain was established; keep the observation below Hero."],"rule_id":"contextual-default"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.4286,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":8,"signal_score":9.4643,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"2d90db93-28d0-48ea-922d-5bb4a75a4b6d","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-20T09:50:25.755038+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T09:41:58.441719+00:00","external_market_id":"2467465","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.665,"data_completeness":0.0278,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":8.0,"delta_7d":8.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.8042,"editorial_scope":{"category":"contextual","importance_score":45,"matched_terms":[],"maximum_surface":"secondary","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["No high-consequence domain was established; keep the observation below Hero."],"rule_id":"contextual-default"},"persistence":0.4286,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":8,"signal_score":9.4643,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-20T02:05:00+00:00",0.585],["2026-08-20T03:05:00+00:00",0.58],["2026-08-20T04:05:00+00:00",0.575],["2026-08-20T05:05:00+00:00",0.58],["2026-08-20T06:05:00+00:00",0.58],["2026-08-20T07:05:00+00:00",0.58],["2026-08-20T08:05:00+00:00",0.625],["2026-08-20T09:05:00+00:00",0.665]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-20T02:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-20T09:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":8,"points_returned":8,"probability_range_percentage_points":9.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":7.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"2d90db93-28d0-48ea-922d-5bb4a75a4b6d","title":"Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"088e51a76c2cc955431c2ee7f4b538b168a88910cdf9e8c338bb54e67d2f83ba","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T09:41:58.441719+00:00","source_markets":["2d90db93-28d0-48ea-922d-5bb4a75a4b6d"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}