{"bundle_id":"894797fc-a0bb-4e24-8659-0f1e6364f56c","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T03:20:11.076867+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"a2e4b3f0-9bc7-4313-b8a9-d43b4002498a","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.775,"data_completeness":0.1042,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":39.0,"delta_24h":37.5,"delta_7d":33.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":317.8639,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics","military","\\b(?:war|invasion|ceasefire|military|missile|sanction|attack|target|occupation|nuclear)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":true,"persistence":0.3448,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":174,"signal_score":40.3224,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"96a5fc75-56c2-4e23-8bf1-64e6df30a05a","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T03:20:53.035699+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T03:14:59.237119+00:00","external_market_id":"2914145","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.775,"data_completeness":0.1042,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":39.0,"delta_24h":37.5,"delta_7d":33.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":317.8639,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics","military","\\b(?:war|invasion|ceasefire|military|missile|sanction|attack|target|occupation|nuclear)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.3448,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":174,"signal_score":40.3224,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T04:00:00+00:00",0.44],["2026-08-10T05:00:00+00:00",0.44],["2026-08-10T09:00:00+00:00",0.43],["2026-08-10T12:00:00+00:00",0.43],["2026-08-10T14:00:00+00:00",0.435],["2026-08-10T19:00:00+00:00",0.435],["2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00",0.49],["2026-08-11T03:00:00+00:00",0.48],["2026-08-11T07:00:00+00:00",0.47],["2026-08-11T11:00:00+00:00",0.47],["2026-08-11T16:00:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-11T21:00:00+00:00",0.49],["2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00",0.46],["2026-08-12T01:00:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-12T02:00:00+00:00",0.41],["2026-08-12T09:00:00+00:00",0.45],["2026-08-12T14:00:00+00:00",0.425],["2026-08-12T16:00:00+00:00",0.425],["2026-08-12T19:00:00+00:00",0.43],["2026-08-13T00:00:00+00:00",0.43],["2026-08-13T06:00:00+00:00",0.42],["2026-08-13T07:00:00+00:00",0.42],["2026-08-13T14:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-13T15:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-13T22:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-14T06:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-14T13:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-14T19:00:00+00:00",0.395],["2026-08-14T21:00:00+00:00",0.395],["2026-08-15T00:00:00+00:00",0.38],["2026-08-15T04:00:00+00:00",0.38],["2026-08-15T13:00:00+00:00",0.37],["2026-08-15T18:00:00+00:00",0.405],["2026-08-16T00:00:00+00:00",0.39],["2026-08-16T02:00:00+00:00",0.365],["2026-08-16T04:00:00+00:00",0.4],["2026-08-16T05:00:00+00:00",0.385],["2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00",0.385],["2026-08-16T16:05:00+00:00",0.57],["2026-08-16T17:00:00+00:00",0.37],["2026-08-16T17:05:00+00:00",0.57],["2026-08-16T23:00:00+00:00",0.38],["2026-08-17T02:00:00+00:00",0.55],["2026-08-17T03:05:00+00:00",0.775]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T04:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T03:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":174,"points_returned":44,"probability_range_percentage_points":41.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"96a5fc75-56c2-4e23-8bf1-64e6df30a05a","title":"Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"26c24e679b5be722c6c66935f4f21d497d260a0883bc813eaa4a9c7d8465ad30","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T03:14:59.237119+00:00","source_markets":["96a5fc75-56c2-4e23-8bf1-64e6df30a05a"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}