{"bundle_id":"d2b27da5-d771-45b9-9f1e-8d0b65e95f89","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-14T21:19:05.420869+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"3229f143-6551-4031-9814-b63ee66bcb35","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.185,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":3.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":139.3226,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.2174,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":301,"signal_score":3.3587,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"f34c53d4-2feb-4302-bd3d-3c2a56c9d81a","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-14T21:19:40.905525+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-14T21:15:30.129410+00:00","external_market_id":"1163699","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.185,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":3.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":139.3226,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.2174,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":301,"signal_score":3.3587,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-07T22:00:00+00:00",0.155],["2026-08-07T23:00:00+00:00",0.155],["2026-08-08T06:00:00+00:00",0.155],["2026-08-08T11:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-08T13:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-08T17:00:00+00:00",0.225],["2026-08-08T20:00:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-08T23:00:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-09T04:00:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-09T10:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-09T17:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-10T00:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-10T08:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-10T15:05:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-10T19:05:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-10T22:05:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-11T05:05:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-11T09:05:00+00:00",0.185],["2026-08-11T13:05:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-11T14:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-11T20:05:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-12T03:05:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-12T09:05:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-12T10:05:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-12T16:05:00+00:00",0.185],["2026-08-12T18:05:00+00:00",0.185],["2026-08-12T20:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-13T01:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-13T08:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-13T15:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-13T23:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-14T06:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-14T12:05:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-14T13:05:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-14T14:05:00+00:00",0.195],["2026-08-14T21:05:00+00:00",0.185]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-07T22:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-14T21:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":36,"probability_range_percentage_points":11.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"f34c53d4-2feb-4302-bd3d-3c2a56c9d81a","title":"Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"757aaf949103ca4e5b36c44d7e6920efbe1d8302323182c74fcf4229748c6221","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-14T21:15:30.129410+00:00","source_markets":["f34c53d4-2feb-4302-bd3d-3c2a56c9d81a"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}