{"bundle_id":"c3ace5f8-6893-4668-8531-cd1f8eeaef77","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-19T17:20:10.182208+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"f0ec2e0b-a694-4988-8961-a8e258814bd8","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.725,"data_completeness":0.0347,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.5,"delta_7d":3.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":42.2795,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.4444,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":10,"signal_score":3.7222,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"9e7a1349-c724-4df7-85c3-b725f302e7e7","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-19T17:23:59.828424+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T17:16:34.752649+00:00","external_market_id":"3701625","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.725,"data_completeness":0.0347,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.5,"delta_7d":3.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":42.2795,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.4444,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":10,"signal_score":3.7222,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-19T08:10:00+00:00",0.69],["2026-08-19T09:10:00+00:00",0.71],["2026-08-19T10:05:00+00:00",0.71],["2026-08-19T11:05:00+00:00",0.71],["2026-08-19T12:10:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-19T13:05:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-19T14:05:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-19T15:05:00+00:00",0.76],["2026-08-19T16:10:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-19T17:10:00+00:00",0.725]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-19T08:10:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-19T17:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":10,"points_returned":10,"probability_range_percentage_points":7.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":9.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"9e7a1349-c724-4df7-85c3-b725f302e7e7","title":"Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"bd8a5699bf6c5574fdcf251ada3718c3a495a6edfebf052a4eea570e9a81c101","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T17:16:34.752649+00:00","source_markets":["9e7a1349-c724-4df7-85c3-b725f302e7e7"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}