{"bundle_id":"248ea48c-1a51-45b4-8a34-a806062a8c59","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T06:21:59.063400+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"6a15dfd7-3b53-44df-b2d0-03b8ca014b02","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.76,"data_completeness":0.0903,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.5,"delta_7d":3.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.7384,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.2,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":174,"signal_score":4.85,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"1d2a21bc-e6f6-4dd8-add5-af885b07f3b0","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T06:23:05.625911+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T06:15:44.559931+00:00","external_market_id":"2875012","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.76,"data_completeness":0.0903,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.5,"delta_7d":3.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.7384,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.2,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":174,"signal_score":4.85,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T07:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-10T08:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-10T10:00:00+00:00",0.765],["2026-08-10T15:00:00+00:00",0.75],["2026-08-10T16:00:00+00:00",0.81],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.78],["2026-08-11T02:00:00+00:00",0.795],["2026-08-11T06:00:00+00:00",0.785],["2026-08-11T09:00:00+00:00",0.815],["2026-08-11T15:00:00+00:00",0.78],["2026-08-11T19:00:00+00:00",0.795],["2026-08-11T20:00:00+00:00",0.795],["2026-08-11T21:00:00+00:00",0.79],["2026-08-12T03:00:00+00:00",0.79],["2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00",0.74],["2026-08-12T12:00:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T15:00:00+00:00",0.74],["2026-08-12T18:00:00+00:00",0.715],["2026-08-13T00:00:00+00:00",0.74],["2026-08-13T01:00:00+00:00",0.74],["2026-08-13T04:00:00+00:00",0.73],["2026-08-13T09:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-13T10:00:00+00:00",0.73],["2026-08-13T16:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-13T17:00:00+00:00",0.73],["2026-08-13T23:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-14T06:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-14T14:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-14T18:00:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-14T21:00:00+00:00",0.715],["2026-08-15T03:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-15T04:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-15T05:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-15T12:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-15T19:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-16T01:00:00+00:00",0.715],["2026-08-16T02:00:00+00:00",0.715],["2026-08-16T08:00:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-16T16:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-16T17:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-17T00:00:00+00:00",0.745],["2026-08-17T02:05:00+00:00",0.785],["2026-08-17T06:05:00+00:00",0.76]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T07:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T06:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":170,"points_returned":44,"probability_range_percentage_points":11.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"1d2a21bc-e6f6-4dd8-add5-af885b07f3b0","title":"Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"490f98e91c9d0c9d494ba36379f8445c3aeb8d2e6268ca5ffb18a81ab81c9a97","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T06:15:44.559931+00:00","source_markets":["1d2a21bc-e6f6-4dd8-add5-af885b07f3b0"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}