{"bundle_id":"1fbc4f72-e763-42b9-9d44-52c9d71bb46f","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-12T18:17:06.536417+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"47c89d6e-e55a-4960-a39d-a161ab62b64e","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.735,"data_completeness":0.0243,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":-2.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":53.2386,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":7,"signal_score":2.0834,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"9b142c02-5b78-47d4-96ae-4d1d01aa8d0b","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-12T18:20:51.215384+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T18:16:24.052354+00:00","external_market_id":"789407","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.735,"data_completeness":0.0243,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":-2.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":53.2386,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":7,"signal_score":2.0834,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-12T07:05:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T08:10:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T09:10:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T10:10:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T11:10:00+00:00",0.755],["2026-08-12T17:10:00+00:00",0.735],["2026-08-12T18:10:00+00:00",0.735]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-12T07:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-12T18:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":6.0,"observation_count":7,"points_returned":7,"probability_range_percentage_points":2.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":11.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"9b142c02-5b78-47d4-96ae-4d1d01aa8d0b","title":"Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"a685250635c052cad4077203583307a460740f6a92537cff4115882fd3823714","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-12T18:16:24.052354+00:00","source_markets":["9b142c02-5b78-47d4-96ae-4d1d01aa8d0b"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}