{"bundle_id":"d00c7fb0-8ecc-45fd-85da-faa3882e497f","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-11T23:16:24.903216+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"09af235c-6929-45b3-9172-b25d925cfcfb","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.675,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"delta_7d":3.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":49.0314,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":231,"signal_score":2.087,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"bddd46c1-c6c2-45ac-8b0a-855a0e2f9faf","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-11T23:19:09.214945+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T23:14:50.694975+00:00","external_market_id":"1130012","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.675,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"delta_7d":3.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":49.0314,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":231,"signal_score":2.087,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-05T00:00:00+00:00",0.645],["2026-08-05T01:00:00+00:00",0.645],["2026-08-05T07:00:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-05T08:00:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-05T16:00:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-05T18:00:00+00:00",0.65],["2026-08-06T00:00:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-06T03:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-06T07:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-06T10:00:00+00:00",0.725],["2026-08-06T15:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-06T16:00:00+00:00",0.715],["2026-08-06T23:00:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-07T02:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-07T07:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-07T10:00:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-07T14:00:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-07T19:00:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-07T22:00:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-08T07:00:00+00:00",0.69],["2026-08-08T08:00:00+00:00",0.68],["2026-08-08T14:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-08T17:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-08T21:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-09T05:00:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-09T09:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-09T11:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-09T15:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-09T18:00:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-09T18:05:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-09T20:00:00+00:00",0.685],["2026-08-10T00:05:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-10T08:05:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-10T15:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T16:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T18:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T23:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-11T05:05:00+00:00",0.66],["2026-08-11T07:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-11T08:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-11T15:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-11T19:05:00+00:00",0.675],["2026-08-11T23:05:00+00:00",0.675]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-05T00:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-11T23:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":180,"points_returned":43,"probability_range_percentage_points":8.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"bddd46c1-c6c2-45ac-8b0a-855a0e2f9faf","title":"Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"30dcc12c98c93084f00ad9dd1ab7cc7e535842aff479d08e357a6d590a718478","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T23:14:50.694975+00:00","source_markets":["bddd46c1-c6c2-45ac-8b0a-855a0e2f9faf"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}