{"bundle_id":"36f5008a-c5d0-407d-ae4f-b6ff8ab2b7ba","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T21:19:00.242112+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"2fcbcb0a-31c2-40b5-af1d-4b77de8f6394","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.39,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-6.0,"delta_7d":-4.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.1144,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.3043,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":28,"signal_score":7.4021,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"efd37d29-990c-4663-8a68-076b3de793f4","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T21:19:55.901921+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T21:14:18.356114+00:00","external_market_id":"2761138","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.39,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-6.0,"delta_7d":-4.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.1144,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.3043,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":28,"signal_score":7.4021,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-15T06:05:00+00:00",0.435],["2026-08-15T07:05:00+00:00",0.435],["2026-08-15T08:05:00+00:00",0.435],["2026-08-16T21:05:00+00:00",0.455],["2026-08-16T22:05:00+00:00",0.45],["2026-08-16T23:05:00+00:00",0.425],["2026-08-17T00:05:00+00:00",0.395],["2026-08-17T01:05:00+00:00",0.355],["2026-08-17T02:05:00+00:00",0.355],["2026-08-17T03:05:00+00:00",0.355],["2026-08-17T04:05:00+00:00",0.335],["2026-08-17T05:05:00+00:00",0.33],["2026-08-17T06:05:00+00:00",0.34],["2026-08-17T07:05:00+00:00",0.34],["2026-08-17T08:05:00+00:00",0.335],["2026-08-17T09:05:00+00:00",0.34],["2026-08-17T10:05:00+00:00",0.32],["2026-08-17T11:05:00+00:00",0.335],["2026-08-17T12:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T13:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T14:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T15:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T16:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T17:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T18:05:00+00:00",0.345],["2026-08-17T19:05:00+00:00",0.35],["2026-08-17T20:05:00+00:00",0.39],["2026-08-17T21:05:00+00:00",0.39]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"partial_window","first_observed_at":"2026-08-15T06:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T21:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":37.0,"observation_count":28,"points_returned":28,"probability_range_percentage_points":13.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":63.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"efd37d29-990c-4663-8a68-076b3de793f4","title":"Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"deec71618393cd51c26de6016a63439d79d1237f650de13ac9bddb1d11c36d35","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T21:14:18.356114+00:00","source_markets":["efd37d29-990c-4663-8a68-076b3de793f4"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}