{"bundle_id":"e9d347e9-07db-4a68-bdda-c1697ef9bb7f","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-19T17:20:25.195433+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"442e1fbf-f34b-4098-9f6d-edc83d7c896a","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.48,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":7.0,"delta_24h":31.5,"delta_7d":36.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.2802,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":true,"persistence":0.3333,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":169,"signal_score":34.3166,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"cde8798f-88e9-4f5f-ba82-e858b3e13147","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-19T17:23:27.228636+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T17:16:34.752649+00:00","external_market_id":"666593","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.48,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":7.0,"delta_24h":31.5,"delta_7d":36.5,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":133.2802,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.3333,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":169,"signal_score":34.3166,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-12T18:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-12T19:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-13T02:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-13T09:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-13T16:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-14T00:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-14T07:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-14T14:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-14T21:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-15T05:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-15T12:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-15T18:00:00+00:00",0.21],["2026-08-15T19:00:00+00:00",0.145],["2026-08-16T01:00:00+00:00",0.135],["2026-08-16T02:00:00+00:00",0.135],["2026-08-16T10:00:00+00:00",0.135],["2026-08-16T15:00:00+00:00",0.125],["2026-08-16T17:00:00+00:00",0.115],["2026-08-16T22:00:00+00:00",0.15],["2026-08-17T00:00:00+00:00",0.15],["2026-08-17T07:00:00+00:00",0.15],["2026-08-17T12:00:00+00:00",0.155],["2026-08-17T15:00:00+00:00",0.155],["2026-08-17T19:00:00+00:00",0.2],["2026-08-17T22:00:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-18T04:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-18T05:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-18T06:00:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-18T12:00:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-18T17:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-18T20:00:00+00:00",0.165],["2026-08-19T00:00:00+00:00",0.305],["2026-08-19T03:00:00+00:00",0.195],["2026-08-19T09:00:00+00:00",0.2],["2026-08-19T11:00:00+00:00",0.21],["2026-08-19T17:00:00+00:00",0.41],["2026-08-19T17:10:00+00:00",0.48]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-12T18:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-19T17:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":37,"probability_range_percentage_points":36.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.2},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"cde8798f-88e9-4f5f-ba82-e858b3e13147","title":"Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"0cc6c9be2910654b10ded184dd479170a60ce960e83e96202f2fbf01511aec95","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-19T17:16:34.752649+00:00","source_markets":["cde8798f-88e9-4f5f-ba82-e858b3e13147"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}