{"bundle_id":"4a6d9956-f967-4c7d-941b-582f32c0bb80","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-11T16:18:40.579464+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"bb0b8da9-2d70-4710-9a2e-b97ebf1c8d4b","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.64,"data_completeness":0.0139,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.5,"delta_7d":-1.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.3227,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.6667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":14,"signal_score":2.8334,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-11T16:19:41.823606+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T16:15:17.894679+00:00","external_market_id":"2364961","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.64,"data_completeness":0.0139,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.5,"delta_7d":-1.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.3227,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.6667,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":14,"signal_score":2.8334,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T07:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T08:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T09:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T10:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T11:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T12:05:00+00:00",0.655],["2026-08-10T13:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T14:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T15:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T17:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-10T18:05:00+00:00",0.665],["2026-08-11T15:05:00+00:00",0.645],["2026-08-11T16:05:00+00:00",0.64]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T06:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-11T16:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":21.0,"observation_count":14,"points_returned":14,"probability_range_percentage_points":2.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":34.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9","title":"Will Trump and Putin not meet?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"12b6be8d92f29f6b7c9ab51b65a847b36ad24c55cb353d5bb1dd1385389d382c","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T16:15:17.894679+00:00","source_markets":["55d21548-33b6-49dd-ad8d-98b83efc22e9"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}