{"bundle_id":"7beec95e-16ae-424b-a335-9987c5cfd535","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-13T06:17:03.301021+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"c6e90827-7c84-4198-8f7c-ec3c7e86d782","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.2305,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.4,"delta_7d":2.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":816.7388,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":241,"signal_score":2.737,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"6ffd34b8-9ffc-45f8-b107-ceb0762d214c","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-13T06:22:00.516570+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-13T06:16:04.802793+00:00","external_market_id":"561229","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.2305,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.4,"delta_7d":2.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":816.7388,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1739,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":241,"signal_score":2.737,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-06T07:00:00+00:00",0.2105],["2026-08-06T08:00:00+00:00",0.2105],["2026-08-06T10:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-06T15:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-06T16:00:00+00:00",0.2175],["2026-08-06T22:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-07T05:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-07T08:00:00+00:00",0.2135],["2026-08-07T13:00:00+00:00",0.2135],["2026-08-07T20:00:00+00:00",0.2135],["2026-08-08T00:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-08T03:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-08T11:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-08T18:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-09T01:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-09T09:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-09T16:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-09T23:00:00+00:00",0.2145],["2026-08-10T05:00:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-10T06:00:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-10T12:05:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-10T19:10:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-11T02:10:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-11T07:05:00+00:00",0.2245],["2026-08-11T10:10:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-11T17:10:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-12T00:10:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-12T08:05:00+00:00",0.2165],["2026-08-12T12:05:00+00:00",0.225],["2026-08-12T15:10:00+00:00",0.2245],["2026-08-12T20:05:00+00:00",0.2305],["2026-08-12T22:10:00+00:00",0.2305],["2026-08-13T00:10:00+00:00",0.2345],["2026-08-13T06:10:00+00:00",0.2305]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2028-11-07T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-06T07:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-13T06:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":170,"points_returned":34,"probability_range_percentage_points":2.4,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.2},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"6ffd34b8-9ffc-45f8-b107-ceb0762d214c","title":"Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"b8978d61a5bdf43a6508d78d59fd85706db7f818b328cb9eca17723ba5fc15f2","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-13T06:16:04.802793+00:00","source_markets":["6ffd34b8-9ffc-45f8-b107-ceb0762d214c"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}