{"bundle_id":"a7b53243-1558-4edc-8a9f-cbd477670cb0","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-13T22:16:19.453982+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"ea1f8fd1-f36e-4fe5-96b2-447f75768f46","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.875,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":-0.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.0726,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":44,"signal_score":2.0652,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-13T22:18:31.783054+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-13T22:14:23.882797+00:00","external_market_id":"3527749","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.875,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":-0.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.0726,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":44,"signal_score":2.0652,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-12T03:10:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T04:10:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T05:05:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-12T06:10:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T07:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T08:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T09:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T10:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-12T11:10:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-12T12:05:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-12T13:10:00+00:00",0.905],["2026-08-12T14:05:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T15:10:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T16:10:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T17:10:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T18:10:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T19:05:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T20:05:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T21:10:00+00:00",0.915],["2026-08-12T22:05:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-12T23:10:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-13T00:10:00+00:00",0.895],["2026-08-13T01:10:00+00:00",0.89],["2026-08-13T02:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T03:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T04:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T05:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T06:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T07:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T08:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T09:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T10:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T11:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T12:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T13:05:00+00:00",0.88],["2026-08-13T14:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-13T15:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-13T16:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-13T17:05:00+00:00",0.885],["2026-08-13T18:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T19:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T20:05:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T21:10:00+00:00",0.875],["2026-08-13T22:05:00+00:00",0.875]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-14T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"partial_window","first_observed_at":"2026-08-12T03:10:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-13T22:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":44,"points_returned":44,"probability_range_percentage_points":4.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":42.9},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620","title":"Will Trump say \"Biden\" during remarks in New York?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"07a2b576ce60dc6efcd58a9e43b3ba36b927bb009b749a7a05fd44c190e36761","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-13T22:14:23.882797+00:00","source_markets":["30d8cd4a-96bf-440d-a935-bc585ff9b620"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}