{"bundle_id":"dc0fd40d-9e41-4e7c-aff5-ff160c7bb1d2","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T16:16:56.104668+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"40611b60-2a5d-43d6-b313-bcf71260d64c","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.1145,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-3.7,"delta_7d":-27.9,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":0.3227,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.3333,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":181,"signal_score":5.1166,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"c5348427-3d9d-446a-ab10-36c69a60f7a9","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T16:21:00.266747+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T16:15:19.971198+00:00","external_market_id":"704428","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.1145,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-3.7,"delta_7d":-27.9,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":0.3227,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.3333,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":181,"signal_score":5.1166,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T17:00:00+00:00",0.3935],["2026-08-10T21:00:00+00:00",0.402],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.386],["2026-08-11T02:00:00+00:00",0.401],["2026-08-11T05:00:00+00:00",0.3965],["2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00",0.4005],["2026-08-11T09:00:00+00:00",0.401],["2026-08-11T16:00:00+00:00",0.409],["2026-08-11T22:00:00+00:00",0.412],["2026-08-11T23:00:00+00:00",0.412],["2026-08-12T04:00:00+00:00",0.409],["2026-08-12T07:00:00+00:00",0.409],["2026-08-12T10:00:00+00:00",0.4095],["2026-08-12T14:00:00+00:00",0.409],["2026-08-12T17:00:00+00:00",0.4005],["2026-08-12T22:00:00+00:00",0.4005],["2026-08-13T05:00:00+00:00",0.4005],["2026-08-13T12:00:00+00:00",0.364],["2026-08-13T16:00:00+00:00",0.3705],["2026-08-13T19:00:00+00:00",0.3355],["2026-08-13T20:00:00+00:00",0.3345],["2026-08-14T03:00:00+00:00",0.109],["2026-08-14T04:00:00+00:00",0.1135],["2026-08-14T05:00:00+00:00",0.1305],["2026-08-14T09:00:00+00:00",0.117],["2026-08-14T13:00:00+00:00",0.107],["2026-08-14T17:00:00+00:00",0.118],["2026-08-14T18:00:00+00:00",0.1165],["2026-08-14T22:00:00+00:00",0.1045],["2026-08-15T02:00:00+00:00",0.126],["2026-08-15T05:00:00+00:00",0.126],["2026-08-15T11:00:00+00:00",0.1325],["2026-08-15T13:00:00+00:00",0.1285],["2026-08-15T16:00:00+00:00",0.1445],["2026-08-15T20:00:00+00:00",0.1435],["2026-08-15T22:00:00+00:00",0.1385],["2026-08-16T03:00:00+00:00",0.145],["2026-08-16T07:00:00+00:00",0.149],["2026-08-16T11:00:00+00:00",0.148],["2026-08-16T16:00:00+00:00",0.1535],["2026-08-16T18:00:00+00:00",0.1515],["2026-08-17T01:00:00+00:00",0.146],["2026-08-17T02:00:00+00:00",0.146],["2026-08-17T04:00:00+00:00",0.1475],["2026-08-17T12:10:00+00:00",0.1055],["2026-08-17T15:05:00+00:00",0.113],["2026-08-17T16:10:00+00:00",0.1145]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T17:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T16:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":174,"points_returned":47,"probability_range_percentage_points":30.75,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.2},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"c5348427-3d9d-446a-ab10-36c69a60f7a9","title":"Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"e882a1c96b5e939d2494895a5ad12975d58702483a64b01c812359ab5f0179f6","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T16:15:19.971198+00:00","source_markets":["c5348427-3d9d-446a-ab10-36c69a60f7a9"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}