{"bundle_id":"c9cce272-49ad-41e5-b5b1-85d897328ff7","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-15T03:18:53.219866+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"a7f5b40d-7fee-468b-a5d4-f86830505e1d","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.285,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.0,"delta_7d":-3.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.8636,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.2083,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":170,"signal_score":3.1041,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"b097db44-90cb-4e15-b293-1a101178d21d","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-15T03:22:21.810078+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-15T03:16:20.657508+00:00","external_market_id":"1006908","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.285,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":3.0,"delta_7d":-3.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":2.8636,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.2083,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":170,"signal_score":3.1041,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-08T04:00:00+00:00",0.315],["2026-08-08T05:00:00+00:00",0.315],["2026-08-08T11:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-08T12:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-08T14:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-08T19:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-09T02:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-09T03:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-09T10:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-09T12:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-09T17:00:00+00:00",0.25],["2026-08-09T18:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-10T00:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-10T07:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-10T10:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-10T15:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-10T16:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-11T05:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-11T06:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-11T14:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-11T18:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-11T20:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-12T00:00:00+00:00",0.285],["2026-08-12T03:00:00+00:00",0.29],["2026-08-12T04:00:00+00:00",0.295],["2026-08-12T11:00:00+00:00",0.2],["2026-08-12T14:00:00+00:00",0.285],["2026-08-12T19:00:00+00:00",0.305],["2026-08-13T00:00:00+00:00",0.2],["2026-08-13T01:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-13T08:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-13T10:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-13T15:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-13T21:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-13T22:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-14T03:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-14T06:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-14T13:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-14T19:00:00+00:00",0.285],["2026-08-14T20:00:00+00:00",0.285],["2026-08-15T01:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-15T03:05:00+00:00",0.285]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-08T04:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-15T03:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":44,"probability_range_percentage_points":11.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"b097db44-90cb-4e15-b293-1a101178d21d","title":"Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"f31110b32fbd7a53d229ed15c994efb30fa0d66f038e493010a63edb46bf99eb","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-15T03:16:20.657508+00:00","source_markets":["b097db44-90cb-4e15-b293-1a101178d21d"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}