{"bundle_id":"818954d7-45aa-485e-a16e-c6b98ed31c7b","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T21:16:46.907598+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"54574cfc-f50f-49e7-90bd-8508696b31f1","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.345,"data_completeness":0.0104,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":14.0,"delta_7d":14.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":317.1144,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics","military","\\b(?:war|invasion|ceasefire|military|missile|sanction|attack|target|occupation|nuclear)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"eligible":true,"persistence":0.5,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":3,"signal_score":14.25,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"5c1f0c52-8d20-4d32-90ac-c3a82ed3682e","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T21:19:22.295845+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T21:14:18.356114+00:00","external_market_id":"2915296","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.345,"data_completeness":0.0104,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":14.0,"delta_7d":14.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":317.1144,"editorial_scope":{"category":"geopolitics_security","importance_score":100,"matched_terms":["geopolitics","military","\\b(?:war|invasion|ceasefire|military|missile|sanction|attack|target|occupation|nuclear)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Armed conflict, national security, and international order have broad public consequences."],"rule_id":"conflict-and-security"},"persistence":0.5,"publication_tier":"featured","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":3,"signal_score":14.25,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-17T19:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-17T20:05:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-17T21:05:00+00:00",0.345]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"insufficient_observations","first_observed_at":"2026-08-17T19:05:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T21:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":3,"points_returned":3,"probability_range_percentage_points":14.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":2.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"5c1f0c52-8d20-4d32-90ac-c3a82ed3682e","title":"Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"2c3501581d658d5645738a1450c42330682ab09150da50948d3b8ce1831a9ec3","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T21:14:18.356114+00:00","source_markets":["5c1f0c52-8d20-4d32-90ac-c3a82ed3682e"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}