{"bundle_id":"3f7c722e-9c16-43f6-a7aa-3ff168b27833","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-11T22:21:15.262269+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"4a8e2c08-9b2b-4434-88a6-7bce6b02f155","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.705,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.0,"delta_7d":1.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.0691,"editorial_scope":{"category":"macro_policy","importance_score":90,"matched_terms":["economy"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Monetary, fiscal, trade, and macroeconomic changes affect broad public decisions."],"rule_id":"macro-and-monetary-policy"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":41,"signal_score":1.0652,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"d8d504e6-37dd-46d3-89fe-46cd0e7f0ec5","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-11T22:25:00.344619+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T22:20:27.898838+00:00","external_market_id":"676739","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.705,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":1.0,"delta_7d":1.0,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":141.0691,"editorial_scope":{"category":"macro_policy","importance_score":90,"matched_terms":["economy"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Monetary, fiscal, trade, and macroeconomic changes affect broad public decisions."],"rule_id":"macro-and-monetary-policy"},"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":false,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":41,"signal_score":1.0652,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T06:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T07:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T08:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T09:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T10:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T11:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T12:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-10T13:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-10T14:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-10T15:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-10T16:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-10T17:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T18:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T19:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T20:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T21:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T22:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-10T23:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T00:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T01:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T02:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T03:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T04:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T05:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T06:05:00+00:00",0.7],["2026-08-11T07:05:00+00:00",0.7],["2026-08-11T08:10:00+00:00",0.7],["2026-08-11T09:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T10:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T11:10:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T12:05:00+00:00",0.695],["2026-08-11T13:05:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T14:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T15:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T16:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T17:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T18:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T19:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T20:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T21:10:00+00:00",0.705],["2026-08-11T22:10:00+00:00",0.705]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"partial_window","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T06:10:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-11T22:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":41,"points_returned":41,"probability_range_percentage_points":1.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":40.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"d8d504e6-37dd-46d3-89fe-46cd0e7f0ec5","title":"Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"31c0fad662a98414dfe5951b7cf100bddca5a90bbb8cb7c79b6808f8be7e7875","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-11T22:20:27.898838+00:00","source_markets":["d8d504e6-37dd-46d3-89fe-46cd0e7f0ec5"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}