{"bundle_id":"2d6dbbc2-1f1d-4431-841e-4e5fa423e738","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-16T00:17:52.067408+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"657d89ba-4344-4339-9086-5199a27e207e","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.3245,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":0.6,"delta_7d":2.25,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":256.9884,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":312,"signal_score":1.9152,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"e300831e-7bc0-4bf6-80fb-37de1d0a0076","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-16T00:21:39.083117+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-16T00:16:43.798142+00:00","external_market_id":"679018","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.3245,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":0.6,"delta_7d":2.25,"direction":1,"distance_to_resolution_days":256.9884,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections","\\b(?:election|president|prime minister|parliament|congress|senate|supreme court|government|regulation|law|referendum)\\b"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":312,"signal_score":1.9152,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-09T01:00:00+00:00",0.302],["2026-08-09T02:00:00+00:00",0.302],["2026-08-09T04:00:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-09T09:05:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-09T13:10:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-09T15:00:00+00:00",0.3025],["2026-08-09T21:00:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-10T05:00:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-10T09:05:00+00:00",0.3005],["2026-08-10T12:00:00+00:00",0.3025],["2026-08-10T14:00:00+00:00",0.3025],["2026-08-10T17:00:00+00:00",0.3055],["2026-08-10T18:00:00+00:00",0.3115],["2026-08-10T21:00:00+00:00",0.3095],["2026-08-10T22:00:00+00:00",0.3145],["2026-08-11T05:10:00+00:00",0.3145],["2026-08-11T12:05:00+00:00",0.3095],["2026-08-11T13:05:00+00:00",0.3095],["2026-08-11T14:10:00+00:00",0.3285],["2026-08-11T21:10:00+00:00",0.3115],["2026-08-12T03:10:00+00:00",0.3105],["2026-08-12T06:10:00+00:00",0.3105],["2026-08-12T11:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-12T14:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-12T22:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-13T02:10:00+00:00",0.3155],["2026-08-13T07:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-13T10:10:00+00:00",0.3115],["2026-08-13T15:10:00+00:00",0.3105],["2026-08-13T20:10:00+00:00",0.3135],["2026-08-13T22:10:00+00:00",0.3135],["2026-08-14T07:10:00+00:00",0.3145],["2026-08-14T14:10:00+00:00",0.3155],["2026-08-14T15:10:00+00:00",0.3155],["2026-08-14T22:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-14T23:10:00+00:00",0.3175],["2026-08-15T06:05:00+00:00",0.319],["2026-08-15T07:10:00+00:00",0.3185],["2026-08-15T08:05:00+00:00",0.3195],["2026-08-15T15:10:00+00:00",0.3195],["2026-08-15T17:10:00+00:00",0.3245],["2026-08-16T00:10:00+00:00",0.3245]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2027-04-30T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-09T01:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-16T00:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.1,"observation_count":190,"points_returned":42,"probability_range_percentage_points":2.8,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.2},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"e300831e-7bc0-4bf6-80fb-37de1d0a0076","title":"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"9b2af49b326e0c4da0140753c3084be718951283ede783cd1da62759940f84d7","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-16T00:16:43.798142+00:00","source_markets":["e300831e-7bc0-4bf6-80fb-37de1d0a0076"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}