{"bundle_id":"1bae4d16-9aa3-4861-a2e6-90be1c5baa25","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-17T04:18:17.823663+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"ce89e533-657d-4eff-8800-59c8ee4c42a5","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.225,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":1.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.822,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.0833,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":172,"signal_score":3.2916,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"2b48831d-06d8-41af-82be-04f4d3792869","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-17T04:22:10.288064+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T04:15:17.973731+00:00","external_market_id":"2875015","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.225,"data_completeness":0.0868,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-2.0,"delta_7d":1.5,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":1.822,"editorial_scope":{"category":"governance","importance_score":95,"matched_terms":["politics","elections"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Government, elections, and institutional power are core public-affairs signals."],"rule_id":"government-and-elections"},"persistence":0.0833,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":172,"signal_score":3.2916,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-10T05:00:00+00:00",0.21],["2026-08-10T06:00:00+00:00",0.21],["2026-08-10T12:00:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-10T16:00:00+00:00",0.17],["2026-08-10T19:00:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-11T01:00:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-11T02:00:00+00:00",0.19],["2026-08-11T07:00:00+00:00",0.18],["2026-08-11T08:00:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-11T11:00:00+00:00",0.175],["2026-08-11T14:00:00+00:00",0.225],["2026-08-11T18:00:00+00:00",0.22],["2026-08-11T19:00:00+00:00",0.195],["2026-08-12T01:00:00+00:00",0.195],["2026-08-12T03:00:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-12T08:00:00+00:00",0.215],["2026-08-12T15:00:00+00:00",0.225],["2026-08-12T16:00:00+00:00",0.225],["2026-08-12T20:00:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-12T23:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-13T03:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-13T06:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-13T13:00:00+00:00",0.275],["2026-08-13T19:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-13T21:00:00+00:00",0.25],["2026-08-14T03:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-14T04:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-14T05:00:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-14T11:00:00+00:00",0.27],["2026-08-14T13:00:00+00:00",0.26],["2026-08-14T18:00:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-15T02:00:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-15T05:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-15T09:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-15T14:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-15T16:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-15T23:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-16T07:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-16T14:00:00+00:00",0.245],["2026-08-16T16:00:00+00:00",0.255],["2026-08-17T00:00:00+00:00",0.265],["2026-08-17T01:00:00+00:00",0.205],["2026-08-17T04:05:00+00:00",0.225]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-08-18T23:59:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-10T05:00:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-17T04:05:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":1.0,"observation_count":169,"points_returned":43,"probability_range_percentage_points":10.5,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.1},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"2b48831d-06d8-41af-82be-04f4d3792869","title":"Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"b19eb1d5c8d67e140f8e13bc922c30ab35ce527b5f1103eb5dbd1067de10b3ef","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-17T04:15:17.973731+00:00","source_markets":["2b48831d-06d8-41af-82be-04f4d3792869"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}