{"bundle_id":"d3545160-68f1-4e77-859b-1456ac373ff4","calculations":[{"calculated_at":"2026-08-20T06:29:53.308669+00:00","calculation_type":"candidate_detection","calculation_version":"production-1.0.0","id":"0e69b307-2cdb-466c-b16b-60f07eedade7","input_snapshot":{},"output":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.495,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-1.0,"delta_7d":-5.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":110.731,"editorial_scope":{"category":"macro_policy","importance_score":90,"matched_terms":["economy"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Monetary, fiscal, trade, and macroeconomic changes affect broad public decisions."],"rule_id":"macro-and-monetary-policy"},"eligible":false,"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":399,"signal_score":2.3152,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"subject_id":"6eec1ff6-f65f-4ede-9a36-b5bf806e66ce","subject_type":"source_market"}],"contract":"open-signal.public-evidence/v1","counter_evidence":[],"created_at":"2026-08-20T06:35:36.057550+00:00","known_limitations":[],"primary_evidence":[{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T06:27:20.941678+00:00","external_market_id":"908713","metric":{"acceleration":0.0,"current_probability":0.495,"data_completeness":0.0833,"data_quality":"ok","delta_1h":0.0,"delta_24h":-1.0,"delta_7d":-5.0,"direction":-1,"distance_to_resolution_days":110.731,"editorial_scope":{"category":"macro_policy","importance_score":90,"matched_terms":["economy"],"maximum_surface":"hero","policy_version":"1.0.0","reasons":["Monetary, fiscal, trade, and macroeconomic changes affect broad public decisions."],"rule_id":"macro-and-monetary-policy"},"persistence":0.1304,"publication_tier":"scanner","reversal":true,"scanner_eligible":true,"series_size":399,"signal_score":2.3152,"thresholds":{"min_delta_24h_pp":3.0,"scanner_min_delta_24h_pp":0.5,"scanner_spread_multiplier":1.0,"spread_multiplier":2.0}},"points":[["2026-08-13T07:10:00+00:00",0.545],["2026-08-13T08:10:00+00:00",0.545],["2026-08-13T15:10:00+00:00",0.545],["2026-08-13T19:10:00+00:00",0.525],["2026-08-13T22:10:00+00:00",0.525],["2026-08-14T02:10:00+00:00",0.515],["2026-08-14T05:10:00+00:00",0.515],["2026-08-14T12:10:00+00:00",0.515],["2026-08-14T16:10:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-14T19:10:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-14T23:10:00+00:00",0.475],["2026-08-15T02:10:00+00:00",0.475],["2026-08-15T06:05:00+00:00",0.445],["2026-08-15T09:10:00+00:00",0.455],["2026-08-15T16:10:00+00:00",0.455],["2026-08-15T23:10:00+00:00",0.455],["2026-08-16T06:05:00+00:00",0.455],["2026-08-16T08:05:00+00:00",0.465],["2026-08-16T14:10:00+00:00",0.465],["2026-08-16T22:10:00+00:00",0.465],["2026-08-17T05:10:00+00:00",0.465],["2026-08-17T12:10:00+00:00",0.465],["2026-08-17T20:10:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-17T21:05:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-18T04:05:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-18T06:05:00+00:00",0.475],["2026-08-18T11:10:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-18T18:10:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-18T20:10:00+00:00",0.505],["2026-08-19T01:10:00+00:00",0.505],["2026-08-19T08:10:00+00:00",0.505],["2026-08-19T14:10:00+00:00",0.485],["2026-08-19T16:10:00+00:00",0.475],["2026-08-19T19:10:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-19T22:10:00+00:00",0.495],["2026-08-20T06:10:00+00:00",0.495]],"resolution_deadline_at":"2026-12-09T00:00:00+00:00","series_quality":{"coverage_status":"complete","first_observed_at":"2026-08-13T07:10:00+00:00","last_observed_at":"2026-08-20T06:10:00+00:00","max_gap_hours":3.0,"observation_count":165,"points_returned":36,"probability_range_percentage_points":10.0,"requested_window_hours":168,"span_hours":167.0},"source":"Polymarket Gamma","source_market_id":"6eec1ff6-f65f-4ede-9a36-b5bf806e66ce","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","type":"observed_market_series"}],"snapshot_hash":"1bea28e7ce55289981dce57c7a0611fdfbdb522826f35a9b7c26dbd43e8760cb","source_coverage":{"captured_at":"2026-08-20T06:27:20.941678+00:00","source_markets":["6eec1ff6-f65f-4ede-9a36-b5bf806e66ce"],"source_name":"Polymarket Gamma","sources":1},"supporting_evidence":[],"unresolved_questions":[]}